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By Leon Festinger, Henry W. Riecken, Stanley Schachter

In 1954 Leon Festinger, an excellent younger experimental social psychologist within the strategy of outlining a brand new concept of human habit - the idea of cognitive dissonance - and his colleagues infiltrated a cult who believed the tip of the area was once in basic terms months away. How might those humans suppose while their prophecy remained unfulfilled? could they admit the mistake in their prediction, or might they readjust their fact to make experience of the hot conditions?

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Throughout the December 17-21 interval, Arthur installed his first visual appeal at the afternoon of December 18, and lower back day-by-day after this until eventually his departure at 2:30 a. m. the morning of December 21. This used to be his final stopover at. He telephoned as soon as thereafter yet by no means got here to the home back. He seems to were dissatisfied via the disconfirmation of December 21. Early in February, an observer spoke with him back and Arthur indicated that he now not had religion in Mrs. Keech. He nonetheless believed in alien craft, nonetheless believed within the risk of touch with outer house, yet he had given up on Marian and her ideals. Summarizing the proof at the results that disconfirmation had at the conviction of staff participants, we discover that, of the 11 contributors of the Lake urban staff who confronted unequivocal disconfirmation, in simple terms , Kurt Freund and Arthur Bergen, either one of whom have been frivolously dedicated first of all, thoroughly gave up their trust in Mrs. Keech’s writings. 5 participants of the crowd, the Posts, the Armstrongs, and Mrs. Keech, all of whom entered the pre-cataclysm interval strongly confident and seriously dedicated, undergone this era of disconfirmation and its aftermath with their religion company, unshaken, and lasting. Cleo Armstrong and Bob Eastman, who had come to Lake urban seriously devoted yet with their conviction shaken via Ella Lowell, emerged from the disconfirmation of December 21 extra strongly confident than earlier than; Cleo’s switch of center turns out to have lasted whereas Bob’s could have been transitority. Bertha Blatsky and Clyde Wilton began with a few doubts. They reacted to disconfirmation through persisting of their doubts and admitting their disillusionment and confusion, yet nonetheless no longer thoroughly disavowing Mrs. Keech and her specific ideals. now we have famous that either Clyde and Bertha have been pressured to stand disconfirmation in isolation and feature prompt that this issue might account for the pointy distinction among their reactions and people of Cleo and Bob. we will have a chance to check the consequences of isolation extra heavily within the subsequent bankruptcy, that's keen on the consequences of disconfirmation within the Collegeville team. Résumé of Proselyting actions At this aspect we go back to the theoretical issues that prompted our curiosity in Marian Keech and her affiliates, and within the following part we summarize the facts that bears on our speculation. In bankruptcy I, we particular the stipulations lower than which disconfirmation may result in elevated proselyting, and for many of the contributors of the Lake urban crew those requisites have been chuffed. the general public during this team believed in Mrs. Keech’s prediction and have been seriously devoted to this trust. Disconfirmation was once unequivocal and the tried explanation was once by no means thoroughly profitable in dispelling dissonance. eventually, with the exceptions we've got famous, the participants of the gang confronted disconfirmation and its aftermath jointly. stipulations have been perfect for checking out our speculation. absolutely, the reader has via now shaped at the least a coarse impact of the level to which the speculation is supported.

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